We research deep.
You decide better.
Custom-built decision intelligence frameworks. 69 production models. Walk-forward validated. Dual-benchmarked against industry standards. Built and operated by senior financial markets leaders who trade their own systems.
Not magic. Rigorous research, ruthless validation, and domain expertise — engineered into decision systems.
Dual-benchmarked models
Every model must beat both hardened naive and walk-forward GARCH(1,1) on unseen data. No shortcuts, no overfitting, no surviving on luck. If a model can't clear both bars, it doesn't ship.
Tail onset detection
Our systems detect extreme moves before they happen. When the model flags high confidence, 80.5% of those hours see moves exceeding 1.5 standard deviations. When it signals calm, tail risk drops 4.2×.
Calibrated risk bounds
90th-percentile predictions at exactly 90% coverage across every horizon. When we say "9 out of 10 moves will be smaller than this," it's right. Directly usable for stop losses and position sizing.
Decision intelligence, tailored to your domain
Each platform is custom-built around deep domain research. We know these businesses inside out — because our team has run them.
BTC Options & Regime Intelligence
Real-time options pricing, tail onset detection, vol regime classification, and strike selection — powered by a 3-layer ML cascade with 69 production models and 722 engineered features. Directional signals at 96% precision. Walk-forward validated on 8 months of out-of-sample data.
Custom DI Platform
We build decision intelligence for domains where pricing is opaque, data is fragmented, and expertise is concentrated. If your team makes high-stakes decisions with incomplete information, we should talk.
The team behind the intelligence
We built a live crypto trading platform with real-time risk management, Greeks aggregation, and multi-exchange execution. Then we built the ML system that tells it when to trade and when to stay out. Now we package that intelligence for teams who need the same edge.
Our models run in production. We trade our own systems. The methodology is published in our case study with full holdout metrics — because the work speaks for itself.
We build the lens. You make the call.
Whether you need a custom DI platform for your domain, access to our regime intelligence, or want to see our full case study with holdout metrics — let's talk.